Thursday, January 31, 2008








They Are Dropping Like Flies
Now that the Florida Primaries have ended and Super Tuesday is nearly upon us, it seems that the field of candidates has significantly narrowed. With Senator Edwards recent withdrawl, he has solidified the two candidate horse race between Senator Clinton and Senator Obama. With Clinton's delegate count at 256 and Obama's count at 181 the race is far from over. Because of Edwards' relatively dismal showing, having only obtained 64 delegates, his drop out will have little effect on either Obama or Clinton. Among the Republicans, Mayor Giuliani has gracefully bowed out of the race because of his unfortunate gain of just one delegate. This withdrawl has brought all of the remaining light to candidates Senator McCain and Governor Romney. The ultimate problem with this two man horse race, is that it has been directly excluding Congressman Paul and Governor Huckabee, who are still currently running. While Paul stands as a long shot to win with his current delegate count at 4, Huckabee should still be considered a contender with his 40 delegates. While he has not won a state since the Iowa caucus, it could be a major political blunder, on both the part of McCain and Romney, to discount Huckabee as a competitor. With regards to the California Primaries, being held on Super Tuesday, Huckabee could have a chance. With the likelihood that the majority of the hispanic population will vote democratic, the Republican primary may find its roots at the base of the Republican party. On issues such as immigration and the economy there may be a major problem for Senator McCain due to his inexperience with economic growth and his moderate stance regarding illegal immigrants. With this in mind, Romney looks like the likely choice, however Huckabee's religious conservatism could win over the state of California. Please give us your thoughts on the effects of the recent candidate drop outs and any other opinions you may have. And don't forget, this is Fox News where we report and you decide.
(This blog post is based strictly on the Presidential Primaries outside of Sociology 118.)

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